Building scenarios: an election set case

Nate Silver presents an interesting scenarios exercise, aimed at today’s brace of Republican presidential primaries, a/k/a Super Tuesday.  He builds a series of them, each showing the best (or worst) outcome for individual candidates.

For example, what would a maximum Newt Super Tuesday look like?

Under this situation, Mr. Gingrich gets 50 percent or more of the vote in Georgia — enough to win the overwhelming majority of delegates there under the state’s rules. He also wins Tennessee and finishes a very close second in Oklahoma.

What would Mr. Gingrich do for his next trick?

Interesting idea for scenario construction, picking out drivers for a specific outcome.

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