Building scenarios: an election set case

Nate Silver presents an interesting scenarios exercise, aimed at today’s brace of Republican presidential primaries, a/k/a Super Tuesday.  He builds a series of them, each showing the best (or worst) outcome for individual candidates.

For example, what would a maximum Newt Super Tuesday look like?

Under this situation, Mr. Gingrich gets 50 percent or more of the vote in Georgia — enough to win the overwhelming majority of delegates there under the state’s rules. He also wins Tennessee and finishes a very close second in Oklahoma.

What would Mr. Gingrich do for his next trick?

Interesting idea for scenario construction, picking out drivers for a specific outcome.

Leave a comment

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: