Black swans swimming towards education

What black swans could strike in 2012?  This is a fun list of possibles for education.

For example, two opposing ones on books:

Copyright Bans Open textbooks in the US

versus

Free books for everyone!

Two that have nothing to do with digital technolog:

Black Swan 5 – Oil his $400/barrel
International students stop coming

Good to see more traction for peak oil in this space.  I appalled a conference last year by speaking to it.

I like the idea of brainstorming big-impact, low-probability events.

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